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Professor Lisa R. Goldberg, University of California:Do the Golden State Warriors Have Hot Hands?

([西财新闻] 发布于 :2018-06-05 )

光华讲坛——社会名流与企业家论坛第4982

 

题:Do the Golden State Warriors Have Hot Hands?

主讲人:Professor Lisa R. Goldberg, University of California

主持人:金融学院副院长 罗荣华

间:201866日(星期三)10:00-11:30

点:西南财经大学柳林校区格致楼411会议室

主办单位:金融学院 科研处

 

主讲人简介:

Lisa R. Goldberg is Co-Director of the Consortium for Data Analytics in Risk and Adjunct Professor of Economics and Statistics at University of California, Berkeley.  She serves as Director of Research at Aperio Group.

内容提要:

Star Golden State Warriors Steph Curry, Klay Thompson, and Kevin Durant are great shooters but they are not streak shooters. This conclusion is based on an empirical analysis of field goal and free throw data from the 82 regular season and 17 post season games played by the Warriors in 2016-2017.Our analysis is inspired by the iconic 1985 hot-hand study by Thomas Gilovitch, Robert Vallone and Amos Tversky, but uses a permutation test to automatically account for Josh Miller and Adam Sanjurjo’s recent small sample correction. In this study we show how long standing problems can be reexamined using nonpara-metric statistics to avoid faulty hypothesis tests due to misspecified distributions.


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